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I used to do this before the season starts but if VHFL group 11 can take 16 days to make their picks, then I can wait 35 games to do this


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PROJECTING NEW YORK'S FINAL 37 GAMES

487266910_PSX_20210407_185141(1).jpg.524deb90dde92484052f4202c5c9a50b.jpg

CURRENT RECORD:16-15-4

REMAINING 37 GAMES AT CURRENT PACE:

17-16-4    TOTAL 72 GAMES: 33-31-8

LAST 10 GAMES: 5-3-2

FINAL 37 GAMES AT LAST 10 GAME PACE: 19-11-7

TOTAL 72 GAMES: 35-26-11

 

I can not believe we are already 35 games into the season.  It feels like just yesterday that New York called my name in the draft. I must admit this team has surpassed all my expectations so far. New York was ranked 16th overall in the TPA power rankings. Midway though the season and the Americans are actually starting to look like a playoff team. They currently sit in a playoff spot and they have the power to decide their destiny.

I am going to project the New York Americans players points for the remaining 37 games.  I will do this in two different ways. Their current 35 game pace and their last 10 game pace to project the final 37 games. Lets see how this goes ! Some players will benefit from using their last 10 game as a projection. Other players may dip from their current trend.

 

 

 

 

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GARY RUSH

So close to a 100 point pace he can almost taste it. Scoring a lot more lately with 7 goals in his past 10 games.  If this continues he will reach 40+.

Current Season 

35GP 17G 30A 47PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 18G 32A 50PTS

TOTAL: 35G 62A 97PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 7 G 7 A  14 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 26G 26A 52PTS

TOTAL: 43G 56A 99PTS 

 

 

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RHYNEX ENTERTAINMENT

Started the season on pure fire.  Rhynex is currently facing a downward trend the last 10-15 games. If his current pace continues he has a chance to finish around 70 points. If Rhynex from the first 20-25 games re-appears, 90 points could be achievable.

Current Season 

35GP 19G 23A 42PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 20G 24A 44PTS

TOTAL: 39G 47A 86PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 5 G 2 A  7 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 19G 7A 26PTS

TOTAL: 38G 29A 68 PTS 

 

 

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ADAM SYRECK

Syreck has been an assists machine lately. I have no idea if he can keep this up but I sure hope so.  A 60-70 assists season would be awesome !  

Current Season 

35GP 11G 27A 38PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 12G 29A 41PTS

TOTAL: 23G 56A 79PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 1 G 12 A  13 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 4G 44A 48PTS

TOTAL: 15G 71A 86 PTS 

 

 

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Red Lite

Red Lite is on pace to have a down year from his rookie season point totals. However I think he bounces back in the second half and finishes closer to 85 points again.   

Current Season 

35GP 13G 25A 38PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 14G 26A 40PTS

TOTAL: 27G 51A 78PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 3 G 8 A  11 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 11G 30A 41PTS

TOTAL: 24G 55A 79PTS 

 

 

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RJ Thatcher

Thatcher is another player who's last 10 games is almost the exact same pace as the previous 25 games.  He appears to be on pace for that coveted point per game pace. (70-75 points looks like a lock)  

Current Season 

35GP 13G 21A 34PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 14G 22A 36PTS

TOTAL: 27G 43A 70PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 2 G 9 A  11 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 7G 33A 40PTS

TOTAL: 20G 54A 74 PTS 

 

 

 

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Chicken Wing

The way Chicken Wing started the season its tough to come up with an analysis here. Roughly 15 goals in the first 15 games and then roughly 2 goals since.  25 goals and 60+ points is what I am seeing here and that is pretty amazing for a Dman.

Current Season 

35GP 17G 15A 32PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 18G 16A 34PTS

TOTAL: 35G 31A 66PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 2 G  6 A 8 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 7G 22A 29PTS

TOTAL: 24G 37A 61 PTS 

 

 

 

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Zeedayno Chara

Chara's last 10 games have been very good. I am not sure if he can really produce 15 goals and around 60 points. It is possible but it would require a big 2nd half from the rookie.  I'd say 10 goals and 50 points seems very very safe.

Current Season 

35GP 5G 21A 26PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 5G 22A 27PTS

TOTAL: 10G 43A 53PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 3 G 6 A  9 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 11G 22A 33PTS

TOTAL: 16G 43A 59 PTS 

 

 

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Nathan Steele

Another rookie who is having a great start for the Americans.  With 7 points in his last 10 games, makes me wonder if he can explode for 50 points.

Current Season 

35GP 4G 16A 20PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 4G 17A 21PTS

TOTAL: 8G 33A 41PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 3 G 4 A  7 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 11G 15A 26PTS

TOTAL: 15G 31A 46 PTS 

 

 

 

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Clinton Giftopoulos

Numbers are pointing pretty bang on at 30-40 points. Lets see what Clifton can do in the 2nd half.

Current Season 

35GP 8G 8A 16PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 8G 9A 17PTS

TOTAL: 16G 17A 33PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 4 G 2 A  6 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 15G 7A 22PTS

TOTAL: 23G 15A 38 PTS 

 

 

 

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Brussels Sprout

Sprout has 4 assists in his last 10 games. The rookie will score more than 2 goals in the next 37 games. I guarantee it.

Current Season 

35GP 2G 9A 11PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 2G 10A 12PTS

TOTAL: 4G 19A 23PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 0 G 4 A  4 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 0G 15A 15PTS

TOTAL: 2G 24A 26 PTS 

 

 

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Michael Hall

Will Michael Hall surpass 20 points? I think so.  He has been a consistent producer on the bottom lines and has chipped in when he has needed to.

Current Season 

35GP 4G 6A 10PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 4G 6A 10PTS

TOTAL: 8G 12A 20PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 2 G 1 A  3 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 7G 4A  11PTS

TOTAL: 11G 10A 21 PTS 

 

 

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Kaladin kvothe

Kvothe had 4 points in the first 25 games but has 5 points in his last 10 games.  Things seem to be turning around quickly for him.  25-30 points seems imminent.

Current Season 

35GP 2G 7A 9PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 2G 7A 9PTS

TOTAL: 4G 14A 18PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 1 G 4 A  5 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 4G 15A  19PTS

TOTAL: 6G 22A 28 PTS 

 

 

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Gabriel Johnson

Another player who has had aa good string of games lately.  Johnson's ceiling  this season is yet to be determined 

Current Season 

35GP 6G 2A 8PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 6G 2A 8PTS

TOTAL: 12G 4A 16 PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 1 G 3 A  4 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 4G 11A  15PTS

TOTAL: 10G 13A 23 PTS 

 

 

 

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Shawn Andrei Zyuzin

Things can only go up from here.  Still Zyuzin is on pace to surpass my 11 point rookie season with my 1st gen player.  Keep up the hard work and eventually sths rewards you, well kind of. 

Current Season 

35GP 2G 4A 6PTS                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 2G 4A 6PTS

TOTAL: 4G 8A 12PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 1 G 1 A  2 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 4G 4A  8PTS

TOTAL: 6G 8A 14 PTS 

 

 

NYA GOALIES

 

 

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Thadius Sales

Current Season 

29GP 13W 12L 4 OTL   0.917SV%  3.50 GAA                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

31GP 14W 13L 4 OTL

TOTAL: 60GP 27W 25L 8 OTL  0.917SV%  3.50 GAA

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 5W 3L 2 OTL  0.909SV%  3.80GAA 

Sales from a numbers standpoint doesn't appear to be having the best season. Let me defend my goalie here tho.  He has a young team in front of him and he has faced an average of 40+ shots against him per game this season. He is still able to steal games for the Americans and we saw that recently when he stopped an insane 69 of 72 shots against vs Riga. As the team matures his numbers will improve.  I truly believe he can take this team into the playoffs.

 

 

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Joakim Bruden

Current Season 

6GP 3W 3L 0 OTL   0.906SV%  3.95 GAA                                                 

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

6GP 3W 3L 0 OTL

TOTAL: 12 GP 6W 6L  0 OTL  0.906SV%  3.95 GAA

LAST 10 GAMES

1 GP 0 W 0 L  0 OTL  0.909SV%  2.79GAA 

This is tough to predict. Bruden is on pace for 12 starts but its hard to say what ratio the team goes with for starts. Bruden had zero starts in the teams last 10 games.  He did however come in relief after Sales got pulled after allowing 6 goals. Bruden made 10 saves on 11 shots and played over 21 minutes of the game. Bruden has done everything the team has asked of him and his 3-3-0 record is just the pace they need to help push this team into the post season. 

 

 

 

 

 

( 1623 words )

 

 

 

Edited by Jubis
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I. Just. Love. It.

I could read it for hours and hours with out getting tired, so i think you did just a fantastic job or even perfect.

(by the way, i also love the idea of putting the small gifs in the text, i make it way more fluent) 

In the end this gets a solid 10 out of a 10, good work mate, keep it up!

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7 hours ago, Sonnet said:

First thought: absolute banger title

Second thought: theres NO way thats 1600 words what the fuck

I guess it all depends what “a word” is. 

 

9 hours ago, Jubis said:

Current Pace for remaining 37 games

37GP 20G 24A 44PTS

TOTAL: 39G 47A 86PTS

LAST 10 GAMES

10 GP 5 G 2 A  7 PTS

Last 10 game pace over final 37 games

37GP 19G 7A 26PTS

TOTAL: 38G 29A 68 PTS 

Cause that’s 40 words there, and there’s 17 of them = 680 words. 
 

I’m not an updater (and don’t know if Sonnet is) so I don’t care either way about the word count. I just like math. 
 

With all that being said, it’s an ok article. I wish I knew whose players each one of those are. Some more detail about the background of the players and how they came to end up on NYA would be helpful, because I couldn’t (and still can’t) name 8 players on the team. I like the gifs, they make it fun; I like the colour cause it makes it easy to read; and I LOVE the big font because I’m an old man with bad eyes and too much screen time. I wish more people upped the font to 12 or 14 or 16. 

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Review, first I was hoping this would continue, good information on how the players season is going and I like how you factored the last 10 games into the prediction,I like the different colors to tell the difference between current pace, last 10 and the prediction, next time maybe tag the users so it’s easier for a reader to put the player to a user

 

rating 9/10

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16 hours ago, bigAL said:

I’m not an updater (and don’t know if Sonnet is)

 

I am, but personally going in and denying the updates based on my opinion alone would be petty at this point, even if I don't think it should count.

 

16 hours ago, bigAL said:

I guess it all depends what “a word” is. 

 

Probably a good question for @DollarAndADream

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