Examining Uhtred's decreased production

[leafsman 207]

Uhtred is not having a great sophomore season but his team is still winning games this year.  Through 54 games this season he has scored 10 goals and 11 assists which is just under half his totals from a season ago.  In order to match last year's totals he will have to score 12 goals and 16 assists in the final 18 games of the season which is gonna be nearly impossible.  As the year is not over yet we will see what his production is like on a per game basis.  Last season he scored 0.305 goals and 0.361 assists per game compared to 0.185 goals and 0.203 assist per game.  At first glance we can see that this is a pretty big drop. We will look at three factors to see if we can figure out the possible reasons for his decreased production.  We will examine his powerplay production, his shooting stats and his overall ice time.

 

Powerplay

 When looking at his stats the biggest thing that jumps out at you is that his success season was a result of the powerplay.  In his rookie campaign, Uhtred scored 7 times and had 14 assists for a 21 point total.  This season Uhtred has no power play goals and 6 assists.  One factor contributing to Uhtred's lack of success is that he is shooting the puck a lot less on the powerplay this season with 30 shots compared to 65 a season ago.  The decrease in powerplay points is not a result of a lack of power play time as Uhtred is averaging  3.74 minutes per game this season while he was on the powerplay for 3.69 minutes per game last year.   The bears' powerplay is even better than it was a season ago.  The bears scored 61 goals on the powerplay last season with an 18.89% success rate.  This season the Bears already have 57 goals with a 22.62% success rate.  As the powerplay is still very successful for the bears, Uhtred must be doing something right that doesn't show up on the scoresheet.  His 15 points less than a year ago  this is a major part of his decreased production.

 

Shooting

The next area to examine is the frequency and accuracy of Uhtred's Shots.  Last season Uhtred shot the puck 240 times which is about 3.3 per game and this season he has 137 shots which is about 2.5 shots per game.  This is about a 25% decrease in shots and could be a big factor in his decreased production.  When looking at shooting percentage Uhtred had a 9.17% rate last year while this year he is shooting a 7.3%.  

 

Ice TIme

As we saw at the looks at his powerplay usage that has increased slightly over a season ago but its not much of a difference to prove anything.  When we look at his overall ice time he is actually playing significant more this season.  Last season Uhtred averaged 20.06 minutes per game while this year he has played 25.09 per game.  With ice time going up we can rule this out as a reason for his decreased production

 

 

From examining the stats we can conclude that the Uhtred’s drop in production is mainly a result of shooting the puck less and when he does shoot  it is at a much lower success rate then last season. He is powerplay production is alot lower but the decreased shots is a major contributor.   His overall ice time is up and his powerplay time is relatively the same as the year before.  The bears powerplay is even better than last year so thats not a factor at all.  If I were to pick on reason for his decreased production it would definitely be his shooting this season.

 

 

Ofcourse Uhtred scores a powerplay goal after posting this 

Edited June 17, 2020 by leafsman