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Which team is going to get hit hardest by S67's first regression?


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Well, it's that time of season again. The trade deadline is looming and GMs are taking a hundredth review of their current cap, draft, and player assets as well as their performance in the big leagues as we rev up the engine for the last twenty games of the season. And while we could discuss retiring players with a significant impact on their team, some players are going into the end of their fifth season - namely the S67 draftees - and facing a small regression for the very first time.

 

Because of how careers are designed, teams tend to cycle in and out of relevance (with an exception here and there), and two important factors are exactly how many players will face the big hit in the offseason, as well as which teams' players have learned to budget for regression,. Calgary has a handful of S65/66 players who are already old pros at regression - including both of Bush's GM players - maintaining 700-900 TPE, and they only have one player (Kefka Palazzo) who will wake up in the S71-72 offseason feeling unexpectedly more arthritic. On the flip side, another strong contender in Seattle has a total of five S67 draftees - including household names like Scott Greene, Hulk Hogan, Guy LeGrande, Berocka Sundqvist, and Ambrose Stark. They all have diligently squirreled away a bank of TPE that'll soften the blow, even though they'll probably lose the most S67 TPA of any team when regression hits.

 

Those least affected by their first regression include the likes of Calgary, but also Vancouver (0 S67 draftees), Toronto (0 active S67 players), Davos (same), and Helsinki (1 S67 draftee, has bank). On the other hand, Seattle and Riga will probably take the worst hit - as the latter of these two teams sees four players regressing, including feature forwards Phil Marleau and Acyd Burn, as well as lifelong Riga defender Lincoln Tate and starting netminder Greg Eagles (all with bank).

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