VHFL: What are the odds?

[Victor 10,940]

So this off-season I was tagged in a VHFL group as I am every off-season and when I went to check it I was shocked to find I had got the first pick yet again. Oh lucky you, you might think. Well, the weird thing is I couldn't remember the last time I didn't have back-to-back picks in a VHFL draft (i.e. didn't pick 1^st or 6^th which results in that). So I went back and had a look.

 

My VHFL draft pick every season:

S69: 1^st

S68: 1^st

S67: 6^th

S66: 6^th

S65: 1^st

S64: 6^th

S63: 4^th

S62: 6^th

S61: 3^rd

 

Well then. So not only have I ended up with a back-to-back pick in a VHFL draft for the past six straight seasons, this has also only not happened twice in the 9 seasons since I came back and started participating in VHFL. Isn't that insane? What are the odds? Someone tell me the odds.

 

Not that I'm complaining. I think having back-to-back picks is the best position to be in for a snake draft, and also means I only need to pop into the thread 3 times if I have the 6^th pick and 4 times if I have the 1^st. It's all very convenient, just very odd and feels quite unlikely.

[Mr_Hatter 1,608]

If my quick math is correct,  it's about a .0203221% chance, which is just shy of 1/5000 I think

Edited November 18, 2019 by Mr_Hatter

[zepheter 586]

Almost as impressive as Taylor Hall’s chances of getting a 1st overall pick in his 5/9 seasons.