There seems to be a terrible misconception in the VHL that a 3-1 lead in the playoffs is not a good thing. I am here to prove that this is not the case.
This is a 590 because it's not good enough to be a MS or interesting enough to be a mag article.
Anyway, I have looked at all seasons since S27. Why S27? Because that is roughly when people started to doubt leads. Up to the mid-20s, a two-game lead was considered a guaranteed lead. In fact, S27 was the first time a finalist (New York, obviously) led 2-0 and lost. New York would then be the first finalist to lead 3-1 and lose in S31. Anyway, here's what I've come up with.
CODE:
Bland boring text: team with 3-1 lead won in 5 or 6 games
Bold: team with 3-1 lead won in 7 games
RED AND BOLD: team with 3-1 lead lost the series
S27: New York 3-1 Seattle
S28: New York 3-1 Davos
S29: Toronto 3-1 New York, Toronto 3-1 Davos
S30: Seattle 3-1 New York, Calgary 3-1 Seattle
S31: Riga 3-1 Helsinki, Davos 3-1 Riga, New York 3-1 Calgary, New York 3-1 Davos
S32: New York 3-1 Quebec, New York 3-1 Calgary, Riga 3-1 New York
S33: Davos 3-1 Riga, Helsinki 3-1 Riga, Calgary 3-1 New York
S34: Calgary 3-1 Quebec
S35: Cologne 3-1 Davos. Toronto 3-1 Calgary, Quebec 3-1 Calgary
S36: Toronto 3-1 Quebec, Davos 3-1 Helsinki, Toronto 3-1 Davos
S37: No 3-1 leads
S38: Riga 3-1 Vasteras, Toronto 3-1 Seattle, Davos 3-1 Riga
S39: Seattle 3-1 Calgary, New York 3-1 Seattle, New York 3-1 Davos
Well, well, well. Out of a whopping 29 3-1 leads in 13 seasons, just 11 Game 7s were forced, of which seven comeback wins were secured. That's 38% and 24% respectively, for those who like that stuff.
If we go just for the last decade, which is probably fair, then it's 9/23 (39%) and 7/23 (30%). Take away a freak Season 33, where every 3-1 lead was blown away, and things look pretty dire for the comeback settings conspiracy crew (which isn't really a thing, I hope). That season, and three finals in six seasons (S31, S32, S36) which featured 3-1 comebacks is probably what created this myth.