Nykonax

Moscow would have 4 more cups if I didn't exist haha sorry @Spartan

yeah a charity gift receipt

hello resident math major here theres a rule in probability that the probability of all possible events has to add up to 1. So for example a 4-sided die: P(roll a 1) + P(roll 2) + P( roll3) + P(roll 4) = 1 This can be rearranged so that P(4) = 1 - P(1) - P(2) - P(3) In real words, the probability of rolling a 4 is also the probability of not rolling a 1 or 2 or 3. This is called the complement rule. So generally P(event) = 1 - P(event doesn't happen) So in the case of continental cups, if we want to calculate the probability of winning at least 1 cup we can: Calculate the probability of winning 1 cup + probability of winning 2 cups + probability of winning 3 cups + ... + probability of winning 8 cups Or we can use the above rule and calculate P(At least 1 cup) = 1 - P(no cups) The probability of winning no cups is much easier to calculate than the chance of winning exactly 2/3/4/n cups in a career. So it's about 40% give or take some assumptions

60 di (unironically)

too bad we got messier instead

ignoring that Eno Velvson is now giga op since he's playing on a team with Eno and Velv. league is over just go S99 already.

apply

Eno Velvson - SH

i just read through the entire stats series you've put out. love whenever someone dives deeper into the stats, I think it's so much more interesting compared to other articles, shame you don't really get extra credit for writing code or anything like that. anyways, my point is I feel like PIM's should also be a consideration. From what I've seen higher hits correlates to more PIM's. When voting on things like defensive defenseman or two-way forward awards I've been looking at a simple PIMs/Hits ratio. From what I can tell, your script doesn't really take this into account? I think it's an important consideration as penalties are really bad defensive play and need to be considered. Not sure how you'd do implement this though. This isn't to take away from your article at all, I think the stats are really interesting and things I haven't even thought about as stats, and I'd love to have this available every season as part of awards consideration tbh because I think it adds a lot more depth and realism.

no one tell him

interesting

We're saying the same thing. Malmo can't contend for a cup or effectively tank this season so it doesn't matter what they do until S100. I like the moves