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Everything posted by eaglesfan036
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Me, @Victor, and @Ahma once did a podcast together and talking to Ahma is one of the most entertaining things ever. He sounds like a robot and we refuses to give out even the smallest details about himself, as it took a half hour of peer pressure just to find out one thing about him, which is that his poor lizard died and he was really upset about it I'm pretty sure the three of us also played haxball together sometime and that was fun too. I also enjoyed when the VHL had an EASHL team, I remember playing with @Kendrick, @Jala, and @DollarAndADream, and @Smarch and we were decent and played some quality Hakstol hockey and it was a lot of fun. Also when I used @flyersfan1453's account to give myself blue team powers for a few weeks, and secretly changed a bunch of words to autocorrect to munk speak. I also made munk a commish and he logged in like 6 months later and was laughing because he had commish powers. That was funny and @Will was kinda upset about that one
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bump
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Skating is Not an Important Attribute, passing does not help with assists. Find out why here
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Eviews Regression on VHL I recently took a class called econometrics where I learned how to use a program called Eviews to run a regression analysis on a large set of data. For example, I wrote my final paper on how NFL spending on each individual position impacted regular season wins. I decided to apply the same concept to the VHL, because I wanted to see how well upgrading each attribute could predict regular season statistics. If you want a quick summary because you are too lazy to read the whole thing, just go to the conclusion at the end. Background I used the data from the latest season, S63, using end of season attributes and statistics from all 72 games. Admittedly, this isn't a perfect way to do it because I don't account for players upgrading their attributes from season start to end, but there is no better way to run the regression that I can think of. For consistency, anyone who didn't play in 72 games was excluded from the study, but this only resulted in two bots being excluded so that cutoff worked out well. In looking at player attributes, I decided to take out endurance, confidence, durability, potential, morale, and overall because they do not apply. Goals (And Summary on how to read these tables) In this table, C is the constant, and all the other variables are player attributes, like ck = checking or sk = skating As an example of interpreting these coefficients, a one tpe increase in scoring will result in an additional 0.414 goals scored in a 72-game season. So if a player has 99 scoring and 0 in all other attributes, their expected goals would be -15.51 (the constant) + (0.414*99) = 25.5. Some coefficients are negative like passing being -0.17, meaning a one tpe increase in passing results in -0.17 expected goals scored, which would be expected because a player who passes more shoots less and scores less goals. My first regression looked at how player attributes predict goals over a 72 game season. The adjusted R squared is 0.81, meaning 81% of the variation in the dependent variable, goals, is explained by the variation in the independent variables, which are all the different player attributes. This is a pretty good adjusted R squared and higher than I was expecting, so this data is meaningful. In finding which variables are statistically significant, you want to look at the probability column, and find which ones are significant at least at the 10% level, but ideally should be significant at 5% or 1%. In the case of goals scored, scoring and passing are significant at the 1% level, penalty shots, puck handling, and experience are significant at the 5% level, and leadership is significant at the 10% level. According to this regression, if you solely want your player to score goals and care about nothing else, you should solely focus on putting your tpe into the scoring and puck handling attributes, as they have the best combination of highest coefficient and are statistically significant. I somewhat doubt the validity of experience being correlated to goal scoring, because players with high experience tend to have high levels of tpe in general because they are older players. Assists Assists also had a high-ish adjusted R squared at 0.84, so I think this data is useful. For assists, puck handling is significant at the 1% level, defense is significant at the 5% level, and penalty shots are significant at the 10% level. I find this very interesting because one would think that passing is the most important stat in racking up assists, but that does not appear to be the case at all, as passing is not statistically significant and doesn't even have a very strong coefficient! Puck Handling is the most significant and has the strongest co-efficient, which leads me to believe that this stat is way more important than most people believe. Defense makes sense in generating assists as it probably helps win puck battles and bring play the other way. I'm not sure how penalty shots got such a high correlation, but I'm just going to assume that people who points into penalty shots probably just have super high tpe in general, so I am discounting that. I wonder if instead of most assists coming from a pass, they come from a shot that creates a rebound or deflection, or a pass from someone using their skills to move into a higher danger scoring chance area, instead of the actual pass itself. Points Points has a high adjusted R squared of 0.88 which means this data is useful. For points puck handling is significant at the 1% level, and scoring is significant at the 5% level. It appears that puck handling and scoring are by far the two most important attributes for total points in a season, as they are both statistically significant and have the highest positive coefficients. Discipline and fighting unsurprisingly have a negative correlation to points, as you are just wasting tpe putting your points into those. I think it's really odd that passing and skating have a negative coefficient as that means putting tpe into that decreases your total points, though the statistical significance is low. Maybe that is just suggesting you should put your tpe into other areas rather than those ones. Defense also has a high coefficient, and maybe it makes some sense putting some leftover tpe into there to score more points as well. Conclusion Conventional wisdom around the VHL has always seemed to suggest that skating is the most important secondary attribute, and one of the most important attributes overall. My findings here completely debunk that myth, as the numbers show that skating is statistically insignificant and has a low correlation to scoring goals, assists, or points. Instead, puck handling is the most important attribute for scoring points, followed by scoring. If you want to focus only on setting up your teammates with assists, put your tpe into puck handling and defense. Putting tpe into passing surprisingly does not help you earn more assists! Please let me know your thoughts on this, as there are so many other areas I can explore in future media spots. What attributes create the most hits, the highest shooting percentage, the most blocked shots, or the best save percentage for goalies? There are so many great ideas for future articles I am excited to do. 1,073 words - to be used for 2 weeks, to be used weeks ending 12/30 and 1/6
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2-1 Riga
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Riga Seattle New York QC
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Edwin Preencarnacion Press Conference
eaglesfan036 replied to Tagger's topic in Player Press Conferences
1) Who do you think is the current best VHL GM? 2) Which of my players was your favorite? Austin Gow, Robert Gow III, Tim TebowGow, The Process, Chat, Gritty? 3) If you were starting a new VHL team and could have any current VHL player who would you pick? 4) Favorite VHL member? 5) Funniest VHL member? -
Smitty Werbenjagermanjensen Press Conference
eaglesfan036 replied to Fire Tortorella's topic in Player Press Conferences
1) Who do you think is the current best VHL GM? 2) Is Smitty going to be your best player ever? 3) Why are you suddenly much more active with Smitty? 4) I am thinking of naming my next player "4th Forward" and making a defensemen where I keep defense at 40 and do all my offensive stats first. Your thoughts? 5) Do you ever go on discord? -
FISTED ANALLY BY A CIRCUS MONKEY
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1)There's no one on here I truly hate, but if I have to pick someone then @Bushito is my least favorite member. This goes back to I believe around S40 when I was a VHLM GM wanting to become a VHL GM. I remember Bushito was a horrible VHLM GM who drafted an inactive 100 tpe scrub with his first round pick, and he for some reason got promoted to VHL GM because ???. He then proceeded to go inactive with Seattle, and the team went on a miracle run to win the cup. Then Seattle went on a crusade to not have Bushito fired when he returned, and then he stayed GM for a bit and went inactive again! Plus his political opinions are something else. 2) The community here is half the reason I stay, and I don't feel like meeting a whole bunch of new people in another league at this point. Also, I have barely even hung on here, there's no way I will care to in other leagues. 3) A great thing. I also think we are starting to get that, with lots of high schoolers having been recruited recently. They are the ones who are willing to put in a lot of time and care into the website, and they have the youthful hip energy that has faded from us old men #yolo. I don't really get bothered by childishness
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RIP @Ahma's pet lizard
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shit man, you keep brining it up. it's in the past. im here barely getting over it.
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- BluObieZ and eaglesfan036
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thought this was about my boy theo axelson @solas
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Defenseman - Kastelic
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What Should My Next Username Be?
eaglesfan036 replied to Fire Tortorella's topic in VHL.com Articles
How About Hire Q or Hire Quenville? -
done 2 tpe for me
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Keaton Louth @xsjack
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@Trifecta are you in the BOG?
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I feel like 2 3 and 4 are essentially the same thing?
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I meant of your own players lol
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Age: 19 Place of birth: Philadelphia, PA Height: 6'3” Weight: 197. Current team: Ottawa Lynx Selected by the Ottawa Lynx with the 15th pick of the S64 VHLM Dispersal Draft, Gritty is excited to prove his doubters wrong and help lead his team towards the elusive Founder's Cup. The Lynx shocked the world and made the VHLM finals last year thanks to their GRIT and determination, and Gritty's additional year of experience should be key in providing the leadership necessary. The below scouting report shows why the Ottawa Lynx got the steal of the S64 VHLM Draft. Positives Grittiness In case you couldn't tell by his name, Gritty is willing to do whatever it takes to help his team win. He will joust for positioning in front of the opposing goalie, fight for pucks along the boards, and lay his body on the line to block even the hardest slapshot. Additionally, Gritty plays a Dave Hakstol "heavy" game, meaning that he is great at disrupting puck possession by toppling his opponents, and is impossible to knock off the puck when it's in his possession. Hockey Awareness In addition to having the heart to be a great defensive player, Gritty possesses an outstanding hockey IQ, as he is one of the best players without the puck on his stick in the league. Gritty always knows where to go to intercept passes, disrupt defensive zone entries, and when to spring forward as an open outlet for his defensemen. This obviously makes Gritty a top penalty-killer, with one of his talents being attacking the opposing point players and creating a breakaway the other way. Passing Continuing with the theme of being a team player, Gritty is always looking to set up his teammates, as he is a pass-first player who usually will pass on a 2-1 rather than shoot. Gritty has some great saucer pass ability, making it look like he is playing NHL 19, and if often able to thread the puck over opposing sticks to set his teammates up for great one-timer chances. Additionally, Gritty is adept at entering the offensive zone, as he often drops passes back to his teammates on the rush. Negatives Finishing Ability Gritty often gets frustrated because while he is great at pushing play into the offensive zone and getting set up for scoring chances, his shooting accuracy is just not there. It takes Gritty forever to wind up a shit if he wants to get any power on it, and if he has to get off a quick snapshot it often misses the net entirely. Unless Gritty is scoring off a rebound or deflection, it's unlikely he will snipe one past the goalie. Discipline Sometimes when Gritty gets frustrated from not scoring, he takes it out on the other team in the form of a big hit, forgetting that the other player may not actually be near the puck. Additionally, while Gritty's teammates love that he is willing to stick up for them, sometimes he takes things a little too far and creates an unnecessary penalty kill for his team. Puck Handling Gritty's puck-handling is acceptable at best, as he plays within his limitations and will not try to make ridiculous looking dekes that result in a turnover the other way. He generally looks to pass the puck before he becomes in danger of losing it, or will just brute force his way towards the net. However, he cannot make slick moves to get towards the goalie, and does not have much of a breakaway move.
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4) Gritty is my actual player name, though It's Gritty is also an acceptable option. 5) The ladies love the eyes. Many members of @Will's family have already asked Gritty out on a date 2) Scott Hartnell loves the facial hair, and hangs out with Gritty all the time so they can go twinning. It's also great for scaring kids off of lawns
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G - Vase Trikamaki (S11-S16) 634 TPE S14 Continental Cup Champion S15 Tretiak Trophy C - Lars Berger (S17-S24) HOF | 1,104 TPE S18 Continental Cup Champion | S19 Continental Cup Champion | S21 Continental Cup Champion S22 Scott Boulet Trophy | S22 Mikita Trophy S23 Scott Boulet Trophy S24 Scott Boulet Trophy C - Alexander Chershenko (S27-S34) HOF | 1,273 TPE S30 Continental Cup Champion | S32 Continental Cup Champion S29 Joe Malone Memorial Trophy S30 Howe Trophy S31 Brett Slobodzian Trophy | S31 Joe Malone Memorial Trophy S33 Grimm Jonsson Trophy S34 Scotty Campbell Trophy | S34 Brett Slobodzian Trophy | S34 Daisuke Kanou Trophy S34 Mike Szatkowski Trophy | S34 Kevin Brooks Trophy D - Matt Bentley (S35-S42) HOF | 1,221 TPE S36 Continental Cup Champion | S38 Continental Cup Champion | S41 Continental Cup Champion S41 Sterling Labatte Trophy S42 Sterling Labatte Trophy G - Greg Clegane (S45-S52) HOF | 908 TPE S45 Continental Cup Champion | S46 Continental Cup Champion S45 Christian Stolzschweiger Trophy S49 Scotty Campbell Trophy | S49 Brett Slobodzian Trophy | S49 Aidan Shaw Trophy S51 Daisuke Kanou Trophy | S51 Aidan Shaw Trophy ^ Ego massage above VHL Commissioner (S32-S41) VHL Financier (S12-S23, S49-S50, S60-present) Writing Grader (S11-S31), VHL Head Grader (S24-S31) New York Americans GM (S15-S16), HC Davos Dynamo GM (S34-S38), Yukon Rush GM (S49-S50)
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Most Common VHL Fantasy Zone Scores The VHL fantasy zone has existed since the dawn of time, and with it comes everyone's favorite tpe earner, the predict the score thread. One day this summer when I had nothing better to do, I collected the data for the score of every single regular season game from Season 61. I have always predicted a score of 3-2 for close games, as my hypothesis was that 3-2 was the most common score. My prediction was not correct, as it turns out the most common score of Season 61 was 2 to 1. If I was a real scientist, I would be looking at multiple seasons, like at least the last 5, in order to have a larger sample size to really determine what the most common score was. However, even looking at the most common score for S61 was a painstaking process that took me a while, and there is no way I'm doing that for four more seasons of data. If someone else wants to look this up for me, go for it. The above handy dandy chart shows shows how many teams each different score occurred during Season S61. As you can see, 2 to 1 is the most common score as it occurred 43 times, or 15% of the time. The next two most common scores were 3-2 at 12%, and 4-2 at 10%. Overall, 50% of all games during S61 had at least one of the teams score exactly 2 goals, which means that if your prediction does not have one of the teams scoring exactly 2 goals, you are doing it wrong. In the future, I'm going to use this information to always pick a score of 2-1 in predict the score if I think the game is between two equally-talented teams, and will pick a score of 4-2 if I think there is a wider gap in talent between the two teams. However, I should throw in the disclaimer that perhaps S61 was just more defensive than other seasons. I was not paying much attention at all to that year, and maybe there were a lot of good goalies and defensemen or something, thus making 2-1 the most common score as it is lower scoring? Even so, I think it's clear that the sim favors at least one of the two teams scoring exactly 2 goals in a game, so that is your best bet if you want to earn your prediction points. The VHL shifting from 10 to 8 teams has most certainly helped lower scoring totals, as every team should be able to acquire a franchise goalie pretty easily now, with only 8 starting goalie positions available in the league. Let me know your thoughts on this. Will you be ignoring of all my phony science like @Bushito? Will you follow my lead and start predicting every game to be 2-1 from now on? Is this media spot Pulitzer worthy and the GOAT? I think it should be considered for such honors because I am helping you earn tpe!