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eaglesfan036

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Everything posted by eaglesfan036

  1. ok you are right that draft didn't even have a second round ? At least it had a HoF goalie haha
  2. Hey the #6 pick in that draft was amazing and won rookie of the year for Riga! Clearly a steal and definitely didn't go inactive
  3. From this regression, Checking has the 4th highest positive coefficient in relation to points, so an argument can be made that is certainly is impactful in getting more points.
  4. This discussion has motivated me, my next regression is going to be about how upgrading checking impacts expected hits, PIMS, points, etc
  5. The S42 draft was so bad that after like the first 4 picks there was no one. A few things to LOL out, one being @flyersfan1453 ran this draft when he was a commish for 5 seconds. Two, @boubabi's Stockholm Vikings chose the worst draft ever to have 5 1st round picks in, as none of those picks were in the top five, and I don't believe a single one of those 1st rounders actually became a good player. I also want to LOL at Boubabi's "cousin" @Gigga-Bijou. Actually now that I'm looking I believe that Severin Von Karma and Benjamin Zeptembergs at least turned into decent players in the second round. But still, what a horrible draft for the Vikings to have a boatload of picks in. Thank god for the recruiting efforts now and drafts actually being a few rounds deep of solid prospects, the league sucked when drafts were boring and no fun because it was all inactives. Fuck
  6. @Galdoblame I strongly encourage you to join us in Ottawa! @diamond_ace is the most experienced VHLM GM and has seen a lot of success, and we have a really fun locker room that will be great to help you develop your player!
  7. 4) I dislike change, so whatever color scheme I have now is great and I do not want it to change 5) I kinda like Leph Twinger, that's a cute one. Or Gritty of course in honor of the greatest mascot of all time 1) I think @Jubo07 is either an incompetent GM, has no character, or both. He tells news players who are debating what team to join that Ottawa is not a cup contender when we clearly are, having just recently beat Vegas in 2/3 games. So he is either lying to try to help his team, or is truly that clueless. I look forward to easily defeating Vegas come playoff time. Vegas shouldn't even be a team as the concept is stupid and only happened because some idiot thought it would be a good idea to make @BluObieZ a VHLM GM
  8. Yeah I was in the basement of my school's library since hardly anyone ever goes in the library, and those who do not have venture into the basement
  9. I mean I'm exaggerating it for fun. I'm not advocating being extreme enough to leave skating at 40 or anything, I'm just saying the puck handling is more important than skating and skating should be treated as a lesser attribute than it's currently. Still should be upgraded though.
  10. good win boys
  11. Gritty wins face-off versus Jaroslav Zimmer in Oslo Storm zone. Pass to Gregor Rasputinov. Pass to Gritty. Shot by Gritty. Goal by Gritty - Ottawa Lynx : 3 - Oslo Storm : 2.
  12. What's up Vegas
  13. The start of a trend against Vegas winning 7-1 or winning 2-1 gives you the same results in the standings buddy
  14. G - Kallis Kriketers - @majesiu
  15. It is just one seasons worth of data or maybe sths does just hate you
  16. NHL 19 online team play I remember you were really good! Me and @flyersfan1453's club is D1 and ranked 500 something, maybe we will try and play with you sometime?
  17. sorry i missed this i love playing jackbox i would have been down
  18. 1,073 words - to be used for 2 weeks, to be used weeks ending 12/30 and 1/6
  19. Me, @Victor, and @Ahma once did a podcast together and talking to Ahma is one of the most entertaining things ever. He sounds like a robot and we refuses to give out even the smallest details about himself, as it took a half hour of peer pressure just to find out one thing about him, which is that his poor lizard died and he was really upset about it I'm pretty sure the three of us also played haxball together sometime and that was fun too. I also enjoyed when the VHL had an EASHL team, I remember playing with @Kendrick, @Jala, and @DollarAndADream, and @Smarch and we were decent and played some quality Hakstol hockey and it was a lot of fun. Also when I used @flyersfan1453's account to give myself blue team powers for a few weeks, and secretly changed a bunch of words to autocorrect to munk speak. I also made munk a commish and he logged in like 6 months later and was laughing because he had commish powers. That was funny and @Will was kinda upset about that one
  20. Skating is Not an Important Attribute, passing does not help with assists. Find out why here

     

     

  21. Eviews Regression on VHL I recently took a class called econometrics where I learned how to use a program called Eviews to run a regression analysis on a large set of data. For example, I wrote my final paper on how NFL spending on each individual position impacted regular season wins. I decided to apply the same concept to the VHL, because I wanted to see how well upgrading each attribute could predict regular season statistics. If you want a quick summary because you are too lazy to read the whole thing, just go to the conclusion at the end. Background I used the data from the latest season, S63, using end of season attributes and statistics from all 72 games. Admittedly, this isn't a perfect way to do it because I don't account for players upgrading their attributes from season start to end, but there is no better way to run the regression that I can think of. For consistency, anyone who didn't play in 72 games was excluded from the study, but this only resulted in two bots being excluded so that cutoff worked out well. In looking at player attributes, I decided to take out endurance, confidence, durability, potential, morale, and overall because they do not apply. Goals (And Summary on how to read these tables) In this table, C is the constant, and all the other variables are player attributes, like ck = checking or sk = skating As an example of interpreting these coefficients, a one tpe increase in scoring will result in an additional 0.414 goals scored in a 72-game season. So if a player has 99 scoring and 0 in all other attributes, their expected goals would be -15.51 (the constant) + (0.414*99) = 25.5. Some coefficients are negative like passing being -0.17, meaning a one tpe increase in passing results in -0.17 expected goals scored, which would be expected because a player who passes more shoots less and scores less goals. My first regression looked at how player attributes predict goals over a 72 game season. The adjusted R squared is 0.81, meaning 81% of the variation in the dependent variable, goals, is explained by the variation in the independent variables, which are all the different player attributes. This is a pretty good adjusted R squared and higher than I was expecting, so this data is meaningful. In finding which variables are statistically significant, you want to look at the probability column, and find which ones are significant at least at the 10% level, but ideally should be significant at 5% or 1%. In the case of goals scored, scoring and passing are significant at the 1% level, penalty shots, puck handling, and experience are significant at the 5% level, and leadership is significant at the 10% level. According to this regression, if you solely want your player to score goals and care about nothing else, you should solely focus on putting your tpe into the scoring and puck handling attributes, as they have the best combination of highest coefficient and are statistically significant. I somewhat doubt the validity of experience being correlated to goal scoring, because players with high experience tend to have high levels of tpe in general because they are older players. Assists Assists also had a high-ish adjusted R squared at 0.84, so I think this data is useful. For assists, puck handling is significant at the 1% level, defense is significant at the 5% level, and penalty shots are significant at the 10% level. I find this very interesting because one would think that passing is the most important stat in racking up assists, but that does not appear to be the case at all, as passing is not statistically significant and doesn't even have a very strong coefficient! Puck Handling is the most significant and has the strongest co-efficient, which leads me to believe that this stat is way more important than most people believe. Defense makes sense in generating assists as it probably helps win puck battles and bring play the other way. I'm not sure how penalty shots got such a high correlation, but I'm just going to assume that people who points into penalty shots probably just have super high tpe in general, so I am discounting that. I wonder if instead of most assists coming from a pass, they come from a shot that creates a rebound or deflection, or a pass from someone using their skills to move into a higher danger scoring chance area, instead of the actual pass itself. Points Points has a high adjusted R squared of 0.88 which means this data is useful. For points puck handling is significant at the 1% level, and scoring is significant at the 5% level. It appears that puck handling and scoring are by far the two most important attributes for total points in a season, as they are both statistically significant and have the highest positive coefficients. Discipline and fighting unsurprisingly have a negative correlation to points, as you are just wasting tpe putting your points into those. I think it's really odd that passing and skating have a negative coefficient as that means putting tpe into that decreases your total points, though the statistical significance is low. Maybe that is just suggesting you should put your tpe into other areas rather than those ones. Defense also has a high coefficient, and maybe it makes some sense putting some leftover tpe into there to score more points as well. Conclusion Conventional wisdom around the VHL has always seemed to suggest that skating is the most important secondary attribute, and one of the most important attributes overall. My findings here completely debunk that myth, as the numbers show that skating is statistically insignificant and has a low correlation to scoring goals, assists, or points. Instead, puck handling is the most important attribute for scoring points, followed by scoring. If you want to focus only on setting up your teammates with assists, put your tpe into puck handling and defense. Putting tpe into passing surprisingly does not help you earn more assists! Please let me know your thoughts on this, as there are so many other areas I can explore in future media spots. What attributes create the most hits, the highest shooting percentage, the most blocked shots, or the best save percentage for goalies? There are so many great ideas for future articles I am excited to do. 1,073 words - to be used for 2 weeks, to be used weeks ending 12/30 and 1/6
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