VattghernCZ

Claim 1/2 for W.E. 8/4

Part 1: https://vhlforum.com/topic/150303-a-deeper-look-into-s94-goaltending-part-1-goals-saved-above-average/#comment-1034715 In last week’s media spot, I ranked all of our VHL goaltenders by Goals Saved Above Average, a piece of statistics that describes how many goals the goaltender saved or allowed compared to a goaltender with league average save percentage. The runaway winner was Lachlan Summers, preventing about 42 goals compared to the amount an “average” goaltender would have allowed, with about 13 goals saved more than the second-placed Fuukka Rask (who played significantly fewer games).This week, I'm going to take a look into two pieces of statistics that describe goaltenders’ consistency, and I'm going to add a not hockey-related one. Note: in this article, I'm only going to focus on starting goaltenders, including Georgiy Costanzov, who had been the Bears’ starter in the first half of the season, before Fuukka Rask took over the reigns and finished the season with more games played than Costanzov. The backup goaltenders’ sample size is too small to be significant, in my opinion. Quality Starts (QS) Quality Starts is a piece of statistics developed by Rob Vollman in the Hockey Abstract. According to him, a quality start means a game goaltender starts* and finishes with a save percentage higher than the league average (which is .917 for S94, as calculated in Part 1), or with a save percentage of at least .885 in games with fewer than 20 shots against. It's often used as Quality Starts Percentage, which is the percentage of Quality Starts among all Games Started (GS), describing how often a goaltender has strong performances. And yes, this required me to go through game logs to figure out the amount of games started and the goaltenders' save percentage game-to-game. Although to be brutally honest, I "only" went through 439 of the total 576. For reference, in the NHL, QS% > 60 is considered good, QS% < 50 is considered bad, and QS% 53 is about league average. I'm curious to see what the numbers will be in the VHL. *If a goaltender plays the whole game, it counts as a GS. If a goaltender starts the game and is pulled, it counts as a GS. If a goaltender doesn't start a game, but enters the game later, it doesn't count as a GS, even though it counts as a game played. Fuukka Rask @Jubis: 72.4 QS% Lachlan Summers @kirbithan: 72.0 QS% Ash Sparks @DarkSpyro: 63.8 QS% Red Panda @Lemorse7: 59.3 QS% Joel Castle @animal74: 56.5 QS% David Slezák @ShawnGlade: 56.0 QS% Merome Dilson @MexicanCow123: 53.1 QS% Dalkr Vidarsson @KaleebtheMighty: 51.0 QS% Amir Redzic @Slav_Sloth: 50.0 QS% Herald Benson @Benson: 49.0 QS% Jonny Elgar @Jonny: 48.9 QS% Olober Syko @Spartan : 47.9 QS% Matthew McCagg @Jack kidd: 47.8 QS% Georgiy Costanzov @Mongoose87: 46.2 QS% WWWWWWWWWWWW WWWWWWWWWWWW @rory: 45.0 QS% Justin Lion @Emperor_Fun: 44.7 QS% Ryan Artyomov @Enorama: 43.5 QS% The same two names who stood out in Goals Saved Above Average, Lachlan Summers and Fuukka Rask, are running away with QS% as well, giving their teams a chance to win significantly more often than not. Really Bad Starts (RBS) Another piece of statistics developed by the aforementioned Rob Vollman. It stands on the opposite side, as it describes how often does a goaltender have a bad game. These often result in the goaltender being pulled. As a really bad start, Vollman describes a game started with a save percentage below .850. It looks too arbitrary to me; I don't personally like it, but it's an “official” stat listed on Hockey Reference, so I'm going to include it here. Dalkr Vidarsson; 2.0 RBS% Fuukka Rask: 3.4 RBS% Lachlan Summers: 4.0 RBS% Merome Dilson: 4.1 RBS% Justin Lion: 4.3 RBS% Red Panda: 5.6 RBS% David Slezák: 6.0 RBS% Herald Benson: 6.1 RBS% Ash Sparks: 6.4 RBS% Amir Redzic: 8.3 RBS% WWWWWWWWWWWW WWWWWWWWWWWW: 10.0 RBS% Olober Syko: 10.4 RBS% Matthew McCagg: 10.9 RBS% Jonny Elgar: 12.8 RBS% Joel Castle: 13.0 RBS% Georgiy Costanzov: 15.4 RBS% Ryan Artyomov: 19.6 RBS% Again, Fuuka Rask and Lachlan Summers are among the most reliable goaltenders, this time joined at the top by the likes of Dalkr Vidarsson, Merome Dilson or Justin Lion. Standard Deviation Okay, that's not a hockey stat, but a general statistics tool. While the “official” stats describe how often a goaltender is good, or how often they're not bad, a Standard Deviation only describes the tendency to deviate from the average. For this purpose, it's not important what exactly does the numeric value mean. Unless you have a higher education in maths or statistics, the number itself won't probably tell you much. But it's the comparison of these values that matters. Higher number means higher tendency to have uncharacteristically good or bad games, lower number means more consistent results. A goaltender with a high save percentage and high standard deviation is a star goaltender who has consistency issues. A goaltender with a lower save percentage and lower standard deviation is a lower-end goaltender who is less likely to surprise you either way. Goaltenders ranked from the most consistent. Lachlan Summers: SD 0.040 Red Panda: SD 0.042 Merome Dilson: SD 0.043 Dalkr Vidarsson: SD 0.044 Ash Sparks: SD 0.047 WWWWWWWWWWWW WWWWWWWWWWWW: SD 0.047 Fuukka Rask: SD 0.048 Amir Redzic: SD 0.050 Matthew McCagg: SD 0.052 Herald Benson: SD 0.056 Jonny Elgar: SD 0.057 Joel Castle: SD 0.058 David Slezák: SD 0.058 Olober Syko: SD 0.061 Georgiy Costanzov: SD 0.066 Ryan Artyomov: SD 0.074 Justin Lion: SD 0.092 Is it even surprising, that on top of sporting the league's best save percentage, leading the league in Goals Saved Above Average and Quality Starts Percentage while having one of the lowest Really Bad Starts Percentages, Lachlan Summers was also the league's most consistent goaltender? Lachlan Summers’ S94 performance might have been one of the greatest goaltending masterclasses the VHL has ever seen. It looks like the league actually knows what they're talking about, when voting awards winners. A little over 1k words with the tags and everything, claiming 2×6 capped.

I love to see Khus as a render

Yes: @jacobcarson877 (the most decent fella around hete ) @Triller (as long as Subject doesn't know of course. Also congrats, hope everything is alright!) @ScottyP (so he has bragging rights on Scurvy and Thunder) No: @Frank @Gaikoku-hito @Scurvy Sorry boys, I want you as my drinking buddies, I don't think the kid would be okay with it!

1. It's gonna be my full M season. I'm mostly looking to be a part of a good locker room. To be honest, it's more important to me in the development leagues than success is. 2. In the same way as question 1 - I hope to avoid a dead locker room. 3. I love the color scheme of the Phantoms and the logo of the Reapers, imagine combining these two. I guess it's because even though I'm 30, I've never grown out of my edgy teen phase. 4. Even though I love the franchise, I must say I'm not a fan od the Wolves logo, there's just not much going on in my opinion. You could make a better logo featuring a Wolf. 5. There are just so many members making insanely good graphics - STZ, OrbitingDeath, Frank, Triller, BOOM and I'm sure I'm forgetting a lot of other members. But my favorite content usually comes from that VHL Games fella. 6. I used to be into Powerplay Manager quite a lot - the first time I joined was about 13 years ago. I used to have a hockey team there, but it's very different than VHL - every member is a general manager of a team, the players are generated. But eventually I grew bored of it, because most of the time, there was just nothing happening other than annoying micromanaging - the only way to get rid of this was to pay for a "pro" account.

indeed

4 tpe woooooo

What a bidding war

RIP

I'm currently in the process of writing a media spot about a bit deeper look into the S94 goaltending statistics, particularly about the stats that are not readily available. However, the research for this media spot takes hours because it literally requires me to go through all 576 game logs to take notes. And we all know life gets in the way sometimes, and I haven't had as much free time this week as I previously planned. Originally, I wanted to post it before the Awards Ceremony because a part of it was predicting the Aidan Shaw Trophy for the top goaltender. (Congratulations, Lachlan Summers! What a way to end the career! Every forward can now breathe a bit easier.) Well, it didn't work out. No way I'm going through the remaining 200-ish game logs today, then crunching the numbers, then putting the article together today, it's Sunday evening. But there is a stat that actually doesn't require me to go through every single game, and that is Goals Saved Above Average (GSAA). GSAA is a comparison between the number of goals a goaltender has allowed and the number of goals a goaltender with the league's average save percentage would have allowed on the same number of shots against. Obviously, the higher the number, the better—the number represents how many goals the goaltender has prevented thanks to having a higher/lower save percentage than the league average. For calculating GSAA, I needed to figure out the average save percentage, which was easy to do. In S94, there were 3,595 goals scored in total on 42,740 shots. However, 54 of the goals were scored on an empty net, so I needed to subtract 54 from both of these numbers. So there were 3,451 goals scored on 42,686 shots with a goaltender in the net, making the average shooting percentage against goaltenders 8.3% and the average save percentage 91.7%. (While it's not necessarily related to this article, the S93 sliders changes which have increased scoring significantly made me curious what the average SV% has been lately. S94: 91.7%, S93: 91.9%, S92: 92.2%, S91: 92.3%, S90: 92.2%...yup, there's a drop.) For the purpose of ranking the goaltenders, I'm going to split them into two groups: starter goaltenders (36 or more games played) and backup goaltenders (less than 36 games played). This is how our goalies ranked in GSAA in S94: Starting goaltenders Lachlan Summers @kirbithan: 41.9 GSAA Fuukka Rask* @Jubis: 28.7 GSAA Merome Dilson @MexicanCow123: 24.0 GSAA Ash Sparks @DarkSpyro: 21.1 GSAA Red Panda @Lemorse7: 15.0 GSAA WWWWWWWWWWWW WWWWWWWWWWWW @rory: 10.9 GSAA Joel Castle @animal74: 7.1 GSAA Dalkr Vidarsson @KaleebtheMighty: 3.5 GSAA David Slezák @ShawnGlade: 0.5 GSAA Olober Syko @Spartan : -1.6 GSAA Jonny Elgar @Jonny: -5.2 GSAA Justin Lion @Emperor_Fun: -10.7 GSAA Herald Benson @Benson: -11.1 GSAA Ryan Artyomov @Enorama: -11.2 GSAA Matthew McCagg @Jack kidd: -12.3 GSAA Amir Redzic @Slav_Sloth: -13.9 GSAA Backup goaltenders Joseph Reed @BrutalBoost: 2.7 GSAA Toddly Bobbly @ToddlyBobbly: 0.5 GSAA Pipo Popa @npuBeT: -1.2 GSAA Karl Herzlich @LastGoon007: -8.0 GSAA Georgiy Costanzov* @Mongoose87: -8.1 GSAA Clark @cl4rk: -11.8 GSAA *Note: Fuuka Rask and Georgiy Costanzov were deployed as a 1A/1B tandem for the Seattle Bears. Rask played 42 games (next lowest among starters: 62), and Costanzov played 33 games (next highest among backups: 13). Adjusted to 62 and 13 games, respectively, with the same rate, Rask would have ranked 1st among starters with 42.4 GSAA and Costanzov 4th among backups with -3.2 GSAA. In conclusion, it's quite obvious Lachlan Summers and Fuuka Rask were in a league of their own in the GSAA. But the much bigger workload Summers had to carry propelled him into the Scotty Campbell Trophy conversation, which he rightfully won. Preventing 42 more goals than what he could rightfully be asked to is just an insane value he brought to his team. Hopefully, the rest of the article is coming next week.

Yeah, I though about that and was editing my comment while you were typing this

Abolish depreciation fighters... Holup, let me cook. And don't force the players retire. Start depreciating players before their 7th season after their draft season, regardless of what league they've played, with depreciation getting progressively higher, until the member chooses to retire their player, or until their player is at or below 400 tpa at the cutoff. Something like 4% -> 6% -> 9% -> 14% -> 20% -> 30% etc. depreciation for skaters (just spitballing, haven't done the math) Imo, it just doesn't make any realistic sense that players of high earning and responsibly banking members retire right after posting the best seasons of their careers. Why not giving members the opportunity to have their players in the top league for 10, 11 or even 12 seasons, if they can keep up? That would lead to changes in salaries and stuff, because suddenly you don't need to save tens of millions in player store, probably some other changes, but I still think it would be cool to have a bit more realistic aging curves. Or to have an opportunity to create a 13-season second liner, max earning but only keeping the player at like 600s tpa.

July 23, Milwaukee, WI, USA - It's been announced that Wann Kerr refuses to admit his old age, and enters the old farts' ProAm tournament as a free agent, joining the Milwaukee Muskies. According to his words, to catch a muskie, you must become a muskie. So it's understandable he joined them, considering how useless of an angler he is, incapable of catching even a single one. Also July 23, Vancouver, BC, CAN - Wann Kerr, enjoying a selection of 13 craft beers, answers a ringing phone. "Yo, Wanker, FrostBeard here, can you still lift a stick? There's a spot for you on the Eastern Europe roster, if you find some time between your ProAm games!"..."Wtf is ProAm?" That's exactly how it was brought to "Wann Kerr's" attention that there's someone using "his" name to join a hockey tournament. Or was it? The day "Wann Kerr" played the first WC game, the authorities in Milwaukee were informed by "Wann Kerr" about an outrageous identity theft, which includes name, likeness, image and even the style of play and taste in beer, as the ProAm "Wann Kerr" is never seen without a bottle of Svijany lager, while the WC "Wann Kerr" always carries a crate of Bernard lager in his car. The official statement from the VHL is "ProAm is not a part of the VHL, we don't care." Upon being notified about this issue, tge Czech Ice Hockey Federation launched their own investigation. "We've hired a specialist," the spokesman said. "He's an eccentric man, this Mister Gervant of Riga. Wears a medallion with a platypus, and two assault rifles on his back. But we were assured he's a professional." Which Kerr is the real one? Is one of them a doppelganger? Or did Juan Ceson repaired the bot that used to take Kerr's spot, when Kerr was locked in Ceson's cupboard? Nothing is certain.

A1. Not much going on for me in July to be honest. So probably the music fest I was at last weekend - Rotten Fest. A2. Of course! He's gonna be an undersized sniper winger with the best hands in the league. I have to wait 2 years to start his career tho, my current player is S96 draft class. A3. That's tough. Indonesia and Hungary are definitely up there. I love most of South East Asia cuisines, I'm just gonna randomly pick Vietnam as the 3rd one. Q1. My brain can't work when it's this hot, let's talk about cold stuff. What's your favourite ice cream flavour? Do you have a favourite ice cream vendor? Q2. The Summer Olympics have just started, so...do you prefer ice skating, snowboarding, or skiing? Q3. Is your player a part of any offseason event, like ProAm, JST, WC/WJC, draft? How are they doing, or how are you expecting them to do?

Something a bit different. I've bought myself a book about twelve Czech (and by extension, Western Slavic) folklore monsters. I've bought it as an inspiration for 12 DnD oneshots in a style of The Witcher contracts. Genuinely one of the coolest books I've ever bought. Speaking of The Witcher, 8 of these monsters were featured in the books or the videogames either straight up, or as an inspiration. That's why I love The Witcher so much lol.

Holy sh- Kerr is eligible even though he's retired??? I didn't even realize that, hell yeah, let's go! What a beautiful squad!

Good luck e̶v̶e̶r̶y̶o̶n̶e̶ FrostBeard!!!

@Gaikoku-hito You're using capital punishment, Seattle is using cocaine, wth is going on overseas

No one is taking a goon from Greenland over a fanboying red panda, come on

Disclaimer: I'm comparing the players as prosoects on the draft day, without taking into consideration how their careers continued after the draft. What's standing out about the S96 draft class at this moment is the fact that three of the five arguably best skaters in the class are defenders. Hulking offensive juggernaut Pan Daffleck is likely looking like a future 1st overall pick, and very well-rounded two-way defenseman River Harrington projects anywhere in the 2 to 4 range, depending on the drafting team's needs. Will the S90 scenario of defenders being drafted 1st and 2nd overall repeat in S96? Alagsantere Grønvold is a solid consolidation price for a team looking for a blueliner but unable to grab one of the two top names; while he's clearly a step behind Daffleck and Harrington in his overall game, he's starting to look like the best pure shutdown player of the bunch. To me, the S91 and S94 draft classes are the closest ones to the S96 in terms of top-end blueline talent. S91 was headlined by the 1st overall selection, CGY Janser, and 3rd overall, Leif Reingaard—that's your Daffleck and Harrington. But there was no Grønvold-like prospect behind the two. The S94 class was much deeper in defense than the S96 is shaping up to be. At the time of the draft, Jillian Woods was maybe even considered a step above what Daffleck would be, but the rest of the top blueliners were maybe more around Grønvold's level, with Harrington maybe being a few steps ahead of them. That includes Bollos de Trueno, Felicia Hardy, or Lazlo Holmes. There were many fantastic defenders drafted in other classes as well, but no other 90s draft class has been as strong as a whole as these I'm mentioning.

I'll pay for the VHL's flight to Czechia

One more year and I'm gonna have a beer with the VHL! Happy birthday!

They probably wouldn't have won it with Kerr

1. If course sad and pissed off, it was my first gen's last chance. But more than that, I'm confused. How did we get swept? Makes no sense at all. 2. No matter where I play, I'll always have a soft spot for Vancouver. At least as long as it's run by Frank and Gaiko. Before the S94 started, I was kinda hoping to meet them in the finals, that would have been a great way to retire. 3. Our second line was a bright spot, and it was led by Sjin. What a season for him. 4. To be blunt, I don't really care that much. I'm sure the commissioners will make the right decision, and there's probably a reason you have been let in, Ricer. Good luck! 5. I've never actually played it. In pretty much all Europe, there's this dogma that it's a game for pretentious rich people. I can't really say I share it, but I've never gotten into trying it myself. I'm really outdoorsy, I like fishing, hiking and camping. I can also play some bass and I can force some sounds out of a guitar as well. I enjoy going to metal concerts, playing DnD, reading and cooking and I keep a few reptiles. 6. As a Czech, I have to mention Jan Železný and Emil Zátopek of course. But to be honest, I don't really watch sports other than the NHL and rallye - though I only watch rallye because it's cool, I don't really follow it. So I have to say Gretzky.