Gustav

I have gone through a few different iterations of updating my guide and I forgot that it still has a 200-TPE cap on suggestions for the M. Maybe I’ll have to go through it again. This looks good though! We’ll always take cool resources for M players.

Yeah if people want to whine that they have to use the forum for something (heaven forbid), then too bad. Like it or not, it’s an awesome archive of league history in its own right and I’ve learned to appreciate lots of things I wasn’t around for in ways that I never would have if I’d just looked at the portal for everything.

This is going to be really weird

Week 2

Ah yes the type of content I'm here for

Moon Moth's hits/PIM ratio is insane and that plus the goals lead got my vote. Lots of good choices here though.

LAZLO HOLMES CUP LET'S GO

WELL WELL WELL You make a post about how the league is rigging the holiday prize draws and look at just WHAT happens

ONE MORE WIN AND I HAVE MY FIRST CUP SIMON DON’T FAIL ME NOW

That’s exactly what it is and people are just really bad at understanding how parity works. Why it could never swing my way as a GM, I don’t exactly know.

LET'S GO. Literally any outcome other than being swept in the finals (it's happened twice) would be the most successful season by any team I've played on. Lazlo has a championship in the M. Can he take one in both leagues? Tune in and find out.

I like to think I own it well at this point.

If wildcard teams have an unfair advantage, then why did I never win a Cup with Davos? Curious.

TBF I think it paints the picture more clearly/is more explainable to have actual results of a simulation to talk about. It’s also more fun for me to say I simmed each matchup for 175ish series than to just calculate the probability directly; we are a sim league after all. This is why engineering > math. Something that would have been even simpler to do would be to stay on Discord a little longer, because @LucyXpher talked about how Malmo’s morale was higher than Riga’s in this past series—so the idea that it’s a matter of some weird wild-card winner morale boost is completely false to begin with. Regardless of how you do it, something I think is interesting is that regular-season points seem to be a very good indicator of playoff success with my average outcomes matching Victor’s historical numbers pretty much exactly. With that being the case, I was also surprised to find out that most matchups are something like 60-40 in favor of the #1 team, and even the most mismatched ones are about 70-30. In general, I’d totally agree that people don’t get randomness and think the playoffs should be completely deterministic. I’ve seen far worse examples of “the league needs to change the way it works because I lost,” based on much less, going back to my first season here. It’s never going to cease to exist in the VHL, and it’s always going to be a little bit annoying, which is probably why I felt the need to analyze it before it turned into something bigger and weirder.